Safe Bet

Two years from now, twice as many people uninsured. Reason? The new bill makes it cheaper for individuals and companies to pay the fine for not being insured/providing a plan than to do so. Since insurance companies cannot exclude pre-existing conditions, you don't have to think about your health until the day you're sick.

As of now, a rational individual would not choose to obtain health insurance, and a rational new business would not offer health insurance. In both cases, that is because the legislation has made it illegal for health insurers to discriminate against people on the basis of health status. So the cost of obtaining health insurance while you are healthy will stay high--in fact, market forces should send it higher--while the cost of remaining uninsured has dropped dramatically.

What you subsidize --in this case, being uninsured-- you get more of. Any suckers wanna take my bet?